26 November 2013

翁诗杰靠向蔡细历倒廖



    
马华党选派系斗争战鼓渐响,双方排阵由下而上逐渐现眼。马青总团长一职,在魏家祥扶植下的张盛闻已成为廖中莱派系的出战人马,挟着在雪州马青团凌厉胜势,被视为略胜一筹可替魏、廖先攻下马青中央城池。

不过,以黑马姿态出战的吴杰民,在蔡细历祝福下在各州基层奔波多月也不容小觑。尤其是刚落幕的马青13州州团团长的人马,蔡派掌控多数州团的主导权,使吴杰民仗着蔡的加持如虎添翼。但是,本届降龄至40岁以下的马青新雀代表,其叛逆性盖过对政治的认知,会选择怎样的领袖颇难预料。

张盛闻历年来对华文教育的评议所取得的知名度,比起吴杰民风头较健。不过,张盛闻若要领导马青改头换面,仅在教育课题上独沽一味偏食,就缺乏全面性。吴的团队藉人之弱增己之强,预料将以政经文教等等课题的斗争理念与张盛闻利钝互比。

随着妇女组主席尤绰韬退隐,代表廖派的陈清凉将顶替而战,预料将与王赛芝争一姐之位。陈清凉在槟州妇女组竞选败北 ,锐气受挫。预料廖派在没有更适当的人选的情况下,陈清凉将硬着头皮与王赛芝决战。基於马华代表向来以名气和地位作为选举取向,王赛芝谅能轻骑过关。

马华1221日中央党选焦点无可避免由蔡细历和廖中莱拼一兴衰浮沉。廖对蔡可能捍卫老总一职可谓心惊胆颤,劳动林亚礼出面向首相纳吉告状贬蔡挺廖以确保胜算。这种藉巫统之力以壮声色的举措弄巧反拙,可能激怒2385中央代表为了党的尊严清算叛徒。如无变卦,当今犹抱琵琶半遮面的魏家祥将伙同竞逐署总一职。问题是,魏不久前放话,若蔡细历违背承诺再战江湖,他将考虑全面退出党选。老魏会否坐言起行,将平添另一个话题。

蔡细历对是否参战至今口风甚密,最近谴廖提案不通过,多少打击他的盘算。有人认为,即使廖派引入巫统阻截蔡细历竞选,蔡断不会畏缩。蔡细历要抱着廖中莱玉石俱焚,看来无可选择必须出马击败廖中莱,再安排新一代的领导层才会自愿求去。即使他不出战,极可能委派颜炳寿与廖一较高低。不过,基於颜不是国会议员,加上基层的根底有缺牢靠,一时成为胜算的隐忧。支持蔡的九百多张铁票未必会悉数惠泽到颜的身上。

如果蔡细历竞选,他的副手若是颜炳寿,由於同是来自柔佛州,就会引起一州双霸的争议。因此,目前不排除林祥才可能成为搭档。林与蔡多月前在媒体唇枪舌弹互轰,近月来双方战火停息,於此有了和谐的合作空间。如果蔡、林配撮合,颜炳寿更上一层楼的意愿就此卡住,他可能在受委党职方面得到心灵补偿。但到底会是蔡、林配,蔡、颜配还是颜、林配,胥视在各州基层勤於跑动的蔡细历审时度势后拍板。

前总会长翁诗杰原本要降职求战,但是,要卧薪尝胆多年后东山再起并不符合只争朝夕的政治现实。老翁掌舵时期飞扬跋扈,藉性爱光碟旧事斩蔡壮志未酬,却因廖、魏等人逼宫和背叛怨根深种,当前形势难以修好。据可靠消息,他曾三次与蔡细历密斟寻求他的撑腰,研讨攻打老总或署总的可能性,但蔡细历至今只採取观望态度尚未敲定。

翁诗杰当前筹集资本的营地放在面子书上,架设专页寻求网友的“民意”,以一贯正气凛然的姿态要挽救党的尊严重拾旧山河,期冀以党外受欢迎程度营造再吃回头草的声势。然而,虽然他面书上已获得超过一万个“赞”,也不足於反映2385名中央代表的支持度,毕竟,这只是虚拟世界中的幻象。如今党选阵营分明,老翁要在蔡、廖交恶中成为折衷人选,也许只有少数的游离票为发泄情绪而投选他,但多数趋炎附势的代表都选择投靠一边效力尽忠利己。因此,衡量他与蔡、廖积怨的深浅,估计他将在年底的党选配合蔡细历的策略全面倒廖,至於将在党内扮演怎样的角色,再作计议。

星洲日报专栏  纯属主观  26-11-2013

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